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Modeling Wildfire Under Climate Change

Edited by Alex W. Dye, John B. Kim, Peng Gao, Larissa Yocom, Karin L. Riley

Simulating wildfire into the future poses a special challenge because climate and fuels are likely to change, thereby altering fire frequency, size, and spread, and because of uncertainty arising from multiple climate change scenarios and global climate models that simulate them.

In this Fire Ecology special collection, we feature research that adjusts or modifies existing fire simulation methodologies or develops new modeling approaches to simulate wildfire under climate change scenarios, and research that explores and characterizes uncertainties. Studies featured are conducted at various spatiotemporal scales, and located around the globe.


  1. Climate change is expected to increase fire activity across the circumboreal zone, including central Siberia. However, few studies have quantitatively assessed potential changes in fire regime characteristics,...

    Authors: Neil G. Williams, Melissa S. Lucash, Marc R. Ouellette, Thomas Brussel, Eric J. Gustafson, Shelby A. Weiss, Brian R. Sturtevant, Dmitry G. Schepaschenko and Anatoly Z. Shvidenko
    Citation: Fire Ecology 2023 19:33
  2. Wildfire is a major contemporary socio-ecological issue facing the people and natural resources of Southern California, and the prospect that a warming climate could lead to a higher probability of fire in the...

    Authors: Alex W. Dye, Peng Gao, John B. Kim, Ting Lei, Karin L. Riley and Larissa Yocom
    Citation: Fire Ecology 2023 19:20