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The Next Marmara Earthquake: Disaster Mitigation, Recovery and Early Warning

Edited by: Takane Hori, Ali Pinar, Ocal Necmioglu, Muneo Hori, Azusa Nishizawa

The Marmara Sea is well known as a seismic gap prone to massive earthquakes. The aim of this special issue is to gather information about the risk of another Marmara earthquake from the latest geophysical, geological, geotechnical, computational and building sciences research findings in order to discuss ways of mitigating disaster in advance.

Studies are presented on the Marmara earthquake, especially, but not restricted to (i) identification and characterization of the magnitude, epicenter, recurrence, geometry, and structure for earthquakes in and around the seismic gap (ii) evaluation of the risk of tsunamis, landslides, strong ground motion, building collapse, liquifaction, and possibly giant earthquakes due to the interaction of fault segments, (iii) effective communication and utilization of scientific information on evacuation and hazard maps.

Publication started: 15 September 2015
Publication finished: 5 May 2017

  1. Full paper

    Seismic parameters re-determined from historical seismograms of 1935-Erdek–Marmara Island and 1963-Çınarcık Earthquakes

    In this study, the original seismograms of the 1935-Erdek–Marmara Island and 1963-Çınarcık Earthquakes, recorded at local and regional distances, were vectorized. The epicentral locations have been calculated ...

    Nilay Başarır Baştürk, Nurcan Meral Özel and Marco Caciagli

    Earth, Planets and Space 2016 68:158

    Published on: 20 September 2016

  2. Full paper

    Physically based probabilistic seismic hazard analysis using broadband ground motion simulation: a case study for the Prince Islands Fault, Marmara Sea

    The main motivation for this study was the impending occurrence of a catastrophic earthquake along the Prince Island Fault (PIF) in the Marmara Sea and the disaster risk around the Marmara region, especially i...

    Aydin Mert, Yasin M. Fahjan, Lawrence J. Hutchings and Ali Pınar

    Earth, Planets and Space 2016 68:146

    Published on: 22 August 2016

  3. Frontier letter

    Assessment of tsunami resilience of Haydarpaşa Port in the Sea of Marmara by high-resolution numerical modeling

    Turkey is highly prone to earthquakes because of active fault zones in the region. The Marmara region located at the western extension of the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) is one of the most tectonically a...

    Betul Aytore, Ahmet Cevdet Yalciner, Andrey Zaytsev, Zeynep Ceren Cankaya and Mehmet Lütfi Suzen

    Earth, Planets and Space 2016 68:139

    Published on: 2 August 2016

  4. Full paper

    A new GIS-based tsunami risk evaluation: MeTHuVA (METU tsunami human vulnerability assessment) at Yenikapı, Istanbul

    Istanbul is a mega city with various coastal utilities located on the northern coast of the Sea of Marmara. At Yenikapı, there are critical vulnerable coastal utilities, structures, and active metropolitan lif...

    Zeynep Ceren Cankaya, Mehmet Lutfi Suzen, Ahmet Cevdet Yalciner, Cagil Kolat, Andrey Zaytsev and Betul Aytore

    Earth, Planets and Space 2016 68:133

    Published on: 22 July 2016

  5. Full paper

    Development of integrated earthquake simulation system for Istanbul

    Recent advances in computing have brought a new and challenging way to tackle the earthquake hazard and disaster problems: integration of the seismic actions in the form of numerical models. For this purpose,...

    Abdurrahman Sahin, Rafet Sisman, Aysegul Askan and Muneo Hori

    Earth, Planets and Space 2016 68:115

    Published on: 12 July 2016

  6. Full paper

    Frictional strength of North Anatolian fault in eastern Marmara region

    Frequency distribution of azimuth and plunges of P- and T-axes of focal mechanisms is compared with the orientation of maximum compressive stress axis for investigating the frictional strength of three fault segm...

    Ali Pınar, Zeynep Coşkun, Aydın Mert and Doğan Kalafat

    Earth, Planets and Space 2016 68:62

    Published on: 23 April 2016

  7. Full paper

    Estimation of shallow S-wave velocity structure and site response characteristics by microtremor array measurements in Tekirdag region, NW Turkey

    In this study, we aimed to explore the S-wave velocity structure of shallow soils using microtremors in order to estimate site responses in Tekirdag and surrounding areas (NW Turkey). We collected microtremor ...

    Ozlem Karagoz, Kosuke Chimoto, Seckin Citak, Oguz Ozel, Hiroaki Yamanaka and Ken Hatayama

    Earth, Planets and Space 2015 67:176

    Published on: 4 November 2015

  8. Full paper

    Offshore seismicity in the western Marmara Sea, Turkey, revealed by ocean bottom observation

    The faults’ geometry and their seismic activity beneath the Marmara Sea have been under debate for a couple of decades. We used data recorded by three ocean bottom seismographs (OBSs) over a period of 3 months...

    Yojiro Yamamoto, Narumi Takahashi, Seckin Citak, Doğan Kalafat, Ali Pinar, Cemil Gurbuz and Yoshiyuki Kaneda

    Earth, Planets and Space 2015 67:147

    Published on: 15 September 2015